Gaussian processes (GPs) are generally regarded as the gold standard surrogate model for emulating computationally expensive computer-based simulators. However, the problem of training GPs as accurately as possible with a minimum number of model evaluations remains challenging. We address this problem by suggesting a novel adaptive sampling criterion called VIGF (variance of improvement for global fit). The improvement function at any point is a measure of the deviation of the GP emulator from the nearest observed model output. At each iteration of the proposed algorithm, a new run is performed where VIGF is the largest. Then, the new sample is added to the design and the emulator is updated accordingly. A batch version of VIGF is also proposed which can save the user time when parallel computing is available. Additionally, VIGF is extended to the multi-fidelity case where the expensive high-fidelity model is predicted with the assistance of a lower fidelity simulator. This is performed via hierarchical kriging. The applicability of our method is assessed on a bunch of test functions and its performance is compared with several sequential sampling strategies. The results suggest that our method has a superior performance in predicting the benchmark functions in most cases. An implementation of VIGF is available in the dgpsi R package, which can be found on CRAN.
Sequential adaptive design for emulating costly computer codes
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Research theme(s)
Evidence base
Evidence base
Publication type
Article
Article
Author(s)
Hossein Mohammadi, Peter Challenor
Hossein Mohammadi, Peter Challenor
Publication date
December 3, 2024
December 3, 2024
Publisher
Journal of Statistical Computation and Simulation
Journal of Statistical Computation and Simulation